04 Sep The Secret to Successful Crosses in LALIGA: What Separates Champions from Relegated Teams?
In the fast-paced world of LALIGA EA Sports, every pass, shot, and cross counts. The 2023/24 season was a clear example of how even the smallest tactical nuances could determine success or failure. But what exactly differentiates the teams that secured Champions League spots from those that faced relegation? By analyzing detailed data on crosses into the box, excluding set-piece plays, and applying advanced machine learning techniques, we’ve uncovered valuable insights into what makes a cross effective.
Understanding Crosses in Open Play
Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to clarify the type of crosses we focused on. This study exclusively looked at crosses into the box from open play — that is, dynamic situations in which the ball is played across the field without being part of a set piece (such as free kicks or corners). This allows us to focus on fluid game scenarios where individual and team tactics come to the forefront.
Key Metrics That Drive Success in Crosses
Our analysis revealed several key metrics that significantly impact whether a cross results in a goal-scoring opportunity or fizzles out in the defensive lines. These metrics were identified using a combination of statistical analysis and machine learning models like Random Forest.
1️⃣ Probability of Scoring a Goal
This was the standout metric across all the teams analyzed. Teams that secured Champions League spots, such as Real Madrid and FC Barcelona, had a much higher probability of scoring from their crosses than those that were relegated. This probability reflects how well players position themselves, how defenders react, and the precision of the cross itself. It’s not just about getting the ball into the box; it’s about creating a real chance.
2️⃣ Distance of the Cross
Crosses from shorter distances tend to be much more effective, particularly for teams that played in European competitions. Girona FC and Athletic Club demonstrated a high degree of effectiveness when crossing from closer ranges, while teams that were relegated, such as Cádiz CF and UD Almería, struggled with more distant and less precise crosses.
3️⃣ Number of Teammates in the Box
The more players in the box, the higher the chance of success. Champions League teams averaged more players in the penalty area during crosses compared to those in the relegation zone. This increased presence creates more opportunities to connect with the ball and disrupt defensive formations.
4️⃣ Number of Opponents in the Box
Interestingly, relegated teams faced fewer defenders in the box, which might seem counterintuitive at first. However, this suggests that these teams were less effective at creating offensive pressure, allowing opponents to defend with fewer players while still neutralizing the attack. Teams like Granada CF and Almería often lacked the offensive force to overload the opponent’s defense.
Top 5 Players: Cross Completion Percentage (Minimum 20 Crosses)
We also identified the top players in terms of cross completion rates, highlighting those who consistently delivered effective crosses under the pressure of dynamic play.
1️⃣ J. ARAUJO (UD Las Palmas) – 47.83%
2️⃣ I. RAKITIC (Sevilla FC) – 44.74%
3️⃣ BRAHIM (Real Madrid) – 42.31%
4️⃣ AIHEN (Real Sociedad) – 37.93%
5️⃣ F. DE JONG (FC Barcelona) – 34.78%
These players not only excel at delivering accurate crosses, but they also understand the tactical nuance of when and where to cross, maximizing the chances of success.
Top 5 Teams in Probability of Scoring from Crosses
Based on our analysis, here are the top 5 teams with the highest probability of scoring from their crosses:
1️⃣ REAL MADRID – 0.1812
2️⃣ FC BARCELONA – 0.1800
3️⃣ GIRONA FC – 0.1795
4️⃣ ATLETICO DE MADRID – 0.1789
5️⃣ ATHLETIC CLUB – 0.1785
These teams demonstrate not only technical skill but also tactical superiority in turning crosses into real goal-scoring threats.
How Champions Differ from Relegated Teams
The question many coaches and analysts ask is: what specifically separates top teams from those fighting relegation? Based on our findings, here are some of the key differentiators:
1. Tactical Use of Crosses
Top teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona are strategic in their use of crosses. They don’t just swing the ball into the box aimlessly; their players position themselves to increase the probability of a successful outcome. Meanwhile, relegated teams often struggle to maximize these chances, either through poor positioning or ineffective delivery.
2. Precision and Positioning
The success of a cross doesn’t just depend on the player making the pass, but also on the teammates’ ability to create space and anticipate the delivery. Teams that performed well in Europe, like Athletic Club and Real Sociedad, had more players in the box, giving the crosser more options and making it harder for defenders to block.
3. Consistency in Key Players
Looking at the individual performance, players like J. Araujo and I. Rakitic stand out because they consistently deliver high-quality crosses, regardless of the match situation. Their ability to read the game and execute under pressure sets them apart from their peers.
Conclusion: Tactical Takeaways for Coaches
What does this mean for teams aiming to improve their performance in the future?
- Train for Precision: Focus on creating high-probability situations rather than simply increasing the number of crosses. It’s better to have fewer, more accurate crosses than to bombard the box with low-quality deliveries.
- Increase Presence in the Box: Teams should look to overload the box with more attackers, forcing the defense to stretch and increasing the chances of a successful connection.
- Focus on Key Players: Coaches should prioritize developing players who can consistently deliver crosses under pressure, like those highlighted in the top 5.
Ultimately, optimizing these key areas could be the difference between Champions League glory and the heartbreak of relegation.